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Sight Unseen

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April 18, 2026 | Rome, Italy

Underdogs dancing so far

By |2026-03-23T22:27:02+01:00March 20th, 2026|Home, Sporting USA|
Second-round NCAA action Saturday saw the No. 11 Texas Longhorns down the No. 3 Gonzaga Bulldogs. Here Texas forward Dailyn Swain (3) dunks on Gonzaga guard Davis Fogle (4) in the first half at Moda Center in Portland. The Horns speared the Zags 74-68 Photo by Craig Strobeck-Imagn Images

The madness began in familiar fashion to 2025 — with First Four winners Miami (which could be making its own Cinderella story this year) and Prairie View A & M— in Dayton, Ohio. From here, it’s a non-stop sprint of wall-to-wall hoops, Cinderella stories, and absolute chaos. 

Today, March 20, the first round continues after Thursday’s Very Bad Day for some higher seeds, with both basketball blue bloods No. 6 North Carolina and No. 5 Wisconsin falling. Also, No. 11 Texas managed to blast past No. 6 BYU, while No. 11 Virginia Commonwealth University gritted out a thrilling comeback, persisting into overtime to best the Tarheels after being a staggering 19 points down (the largest in First Round history). Talk about heart! Thank goodness I had VCU advancing in my bracket over the wildly inconsistent Heels.

If you’re trying to pick a national champion, good luck. If you’re trying to pick a perfect, or at least 90-percent correct, bracket, then forget it!

 Also on Day 1, No. 9 TCU took down No. 8 Ohio State (66-64) and No. 12 High Point also edged out No. 5 Wisconsin for an 83-82 shocker for the ages. Both these upsets broke millions of brackets wide open.

The action keeps rolling into the Second Round on Saturday, March 21, and Sunday, March 22, followed by the Sweet 16 on Thursday, March 26, and Friday, March 27. From there, the stakes only get higher with the Elite Eight on Saturday, March 28, and Sunday, March 29, all leading up to the Final Four on Saturday, April 4 (6:00 and 8:30 PM ET on TBS) at Lucas Oil Stadium. 

If you love this tournament as much as I do, you need to clear your schedule, call in “sick,” and make sure your remote has fresh batteries!

And if you like to do a bit of the old sports betting, as Dick Vitale might yell, “it’s prime time, baby”! 

March Madness Odds 

If you’re trying to pick a national champion, good luck. If you’re trying to pick a perfect, or at least 90-percent correct, bracket, then forget it! 

As of this writing, only 14,000 perfect brackets remain, according to NCAA —and another 6,000 to 8,000 will be busted in about an hour, when the winner of No. 7 Kentucky vs. No. 10 Santa Clara is decided. So far, Santa Clara is giving the Wildcats fits, in yet another win for parity.

Every year, we convince ourselves that the top seeds are “locks,” and every year, March Madness humbles us. That’s the beauty of it. The moment when a 12-seed (or higher) you’ve never even heard of suddenly becomes America’s Team, and you’re left holding a busted-up bracket. 

Let’s be real — there’s a reason perfect bracket challenges come with life-changing payouts. Picking 60-plus winners in a row isn’t impossible. However, the odds of doing such a feat are higher than hitting the Mega Millions lottery.  

Upsets in March Madness aren’t just possible, they’re inevitable. 

Still, if you’re feeling bold (or just lucky), here’s how the betting landscape currently shakes out. Michigan enters as the slight favorite at +325, with Duke right on their heels at +333 and Arizona not far behind at +475. Florida also sits firmly in the contender tier at +600, while Houston rounds out the top group at +1000. From there, the odds begin to stretch out, with teams like Connecticut (+1600), Illinois (+1800), and Iowa State (+2200) lurking as dangerous challengers capable of making deep runs. 

Further down the board, you’ll find traditional powers and potential sleepers like Kansas (+3500), Michigan State (+4000), Purdue (+5000), and Gonzaga (+5500) — all teams with the talent to get hot at the right time.  

As for NCAA champion wagers (who are nowhere near the favorites), I am liking St. John’s, Vanderbilt, UConn, and Michigan State. They all have good odds of winning the championship.

The true longshots start to appear beyond that, with Arkansas and Virginia both sitting at +6600, followed by a crowded group at +8000 that includes Alabama, St. John’s, and Nebraska. Louisville checks in at +9000, while Tennessee and Vanderbilt round things out at +10000, the kind of odds that can turn a small bet into a massive payday if chaos truly takes over. 

If your gut is telling you to ride with a long shot not listed here, now’s the time to trust it,  because if they make a run, those odds will disappear fast. 

As for NCAA champion wagers (who are nowhere near the favorites), I am liking St. John’s, Vanderbilt, UConn, and Michigan State. They all have good odds of winning the championship.  

Sure, Michigan, Duke, and Arizona will likely be there in the end, but they are the heavily favored teams. And remember, if the favorites always won, you wouldn’t need a 9-5 job. 

So embrace the chaos, and get ready for those “did that really just happen?” moments. In this game, it’s about surviving the madness.

About the Author:

Joseph Karbousky has been a freelance writer for over 15 years. Hailing from Detroit, Michigan, Joseph has been passionate about sports and current events since he was a child. While he fell short of his dream of playing in the major leagues, his desire to talk baseball has not waned. A fantasy football enthusiast who loves making NFL and college football predictions, Joseph also has a love for music and has been playing/teaching guitar for decades.