April 26, 2026 | Rome, Italy
Christopher P. Winner March 17, 2026 at 6:25 am
America’s new troika of priorities — isolationism, protectionism, and militarism — will, I believe, produce unsettling consequences. Here are some that come to mind, oversimplified in the extreme: 1. The United Nations, admonished recently by the U.S. State Department to “adjust, shrink, or die,” will in fact die, unable to muster needed funds. The Cold War is dead, and unilateralism is inimical to global diplomacy. UNICEF, UNHCR, and UNESCO are all likely to perish, private agencies doing the possible in their absence. Perhaps the Trump family will acquire the elegant U.N. Headquarters and transform it into a luxury hotel. 2. Though the European Union may survive in name, major states such as France and Germany will rearm, the latter in time becoming a nuclear power. European tension will eventually lead to internecine threats, all the more so as far-right, nationalist parties grow in stature and sway. This, ironically, is what NATO was in part created to prevent, but with Russia intensifying its ambitions, Europe will further burnish creaky muscles. 3. Russia will in the end make uneasy peace with Ukraine, but not before Washington has compelled it to relinquish sovereign territory as both Europe’s NATO contingent and Britain are shoved to the sidelines. 4. China will seize Taiwan sooner rather than later, and the United States will almost certainly order Beijing to cease and desist. But such demands will go nowhere because the U.S., witness Iran, Venezuela, Greenland, and Cuba in the wings, has lost all moral authority. Ultimately, the U.S. will not deter China, nor limit its growing Pacific Rim potency. 5. In the next British general election, Nigel Farage’s vehemently xenophobic Reform UK party will outstrip expectations, forcing a coalition government to adopt stricter anti-migration policies and perhaps even turn to deportation. 6. Barring an unlikely peace agreement, the United States and Israel will win the Iran War and usher in a Washington-friendly government of national reconstruction that will rely heavily on American imports. These are educated guesses based above all on intuition. As the hackneyed bromide goes, only time will tell.